Deals made this time of year can make or break your run at a Fantasy title. Our Dave Richard talks about the sky-high value of Doug Martin and much more in his weekly assessment of the trade market.
By Dave Richard
• 7 min read
Our Trade Value Chart is designed to assist you in making fair trades in your standard-scoring league. The values assigned to the players below are strictly a measurement of their Fantasy value heading into the current week. By adding two players' values you could determine what one player you might be able to get in return. This list should also provide a glimpse into how we feel about a player for the remainder of the season.
Two studs going in different directions are making the rounds in league trade talks. But the asking price for each player might be too high or too low, depending on your perspective. Among the elite players, no one is hotter in Fantasy than Doug Martin and no one is colder than Percy Harvin.
With four touchdowns in Week 9, two in Week 8 and one in Week 7, Martin has clearly arrived as a Fantasy rusher everyone wants. That's obvious.
But what you might not know is that thanks to the 251 yards and four scores he ripped off at Oakland last week, Martin became the highest-scoring Fantasy running back through nine weeks, one whole point better than Arian Foster. But that does not mean he should be the most valuable player in Fantasy trades. Most owners would still prefer Foster or another back with a good track record over Martin. With a veteran, there's the expectation of consistency thanks to years of performing well. Martin doesn't have that and there's no way anyone expects Martin to keep up his multi-touchdown streak, even with the Bucs' rather favorable schedule. And most rookie running backs hit the proverbial "wall" toward the end of the season.
The bottom line is that with what is believed to be Martin's best games already behind him, not many owners are giving up the farm for him. And that's fine, because most owners are perfectly happy keeping him unless they're desperate for wins and upgrades.
Harvin, on the other hand, is dealing with an ankle injury that could keep him out of Week 10 against the Lions. That's on top of playing in an offense with struggling quarterback Christian Ponder. Harvin has under 50 total yards in two of his last three games, something that has happened four times in his last three seasons. Not used to being underutilized, Harvin expressed his concerns to his coach during last week's game, all of which was caught by television cameras. Between his situation and his ankle, not many people are dying to have Harvin on Fantasy rosters, even though he currently ranks as a Top 10 Fantasy receiver through nine weeks.
Here are some trades from actual CBSSports.com leagues that can shed some light on what fair expectations are for Martin and Harvin:
Doug Martin for Ryan Mathews. Know what's funny? Maybe a month ago Mathews was considered a stud and Martin was a borderline dud. Since then Martin has decimated defenses while Mathews has gotten some pretty good work but doesn't have the workload Martin seems to have. Most people would rather finish the season with Martin. This trade is no longer viable unless you're getting Martin.
Doug Martin for Peyton Manning. This trade appears to be a classic blockbuster. Chances are one team was deep at running back and weak at quarterback and dialed up a team deep at quarterback and weak at running back. Though the deal works, I bet most Fantasy owners would rather have the upside of Martin at a thin position than the solid studliness of Manning at a deep position.
Doug Martin and Josh Freeman for Robert Griffin III, Calvin Johnson and Steven Jackson. If an owner was weak at quarterback and receiver and wanted to sell Martin high for some starters, this is a good exchange. Martin should fetch at least two starters in exchange, and in this trade the addition of fellow red-hot Buc Freeman nets another starting option. The trade chart suggests the RG3/Calvin/SJax side is too rich for just Martin and Freeman, though it is worth noting that this is RG3's bye week and he has come off of two rough outings.
Percy Harvin and Nate Washington for James Jones and Brian Hartline. What is Harvin doing in a trade like this?! Is this an example of his value falling in the gutter? Or is this an example of a Fantasy owner panicking over Harvin's current state and ankle injury and getting rid of him? I figure it's the latter. In a trade involving him and three receivers of varying values but none of which are legit No. 1 options, he's the best player in the deal and in moves like this, you'd prefer to get the best man in the trade.
Percy Harvin and Rashard Mendenhall for Dez Bryant and Matt Forte. I'd expect Harvin to be available for much less than this in a trade. While Bryant isn't lighting the world on fire, he still carries some good starting value. Forte is the best player in this deal and should be a lock for at least 90 total yards per week (including this week vs. Houston). If the deal didn't involve Bryant, it would almost work. With Bryant, it's a no-brainer for the team giving up Harvin.
Player | Value | Player | Value | Player | Value |
Arian Foster, RB, HOU | 36 | Aaron Hernandez, TE, NE | 14 | Carson Palmer, QB, OAK | 6 |
Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN | 34 | Eli Manning, QB, NYG | 14 | Jermaine Gresham, TE, CIN | 6 |
Ray Rice, RB, BAL | 32 | Reggie Bush, RB, MIA | 14 | Dustin Keller, TE, NYJ | 6 |
Marshawn Lynch, RB, SEA | 28 | Jamaal Charles, RB, KC | 14 | Josh Gordon, WR, CLE | 6 |
Aaron Rodgers, QB, GB | 27 | Darren McFadden, RB, OAK | 13 | Brian Hartline, WR, MIA | 6 |
Drew Brees, QB, NO | 25 | DeSean Jackson, WR, PHI | 12 | Danny Amendola, WR, STL | 6 |
Peyton Manning, QB, DEN | 25 | Ahmad Bradshaw, RB, NYG | 11 | Alex Green, RB, GB | 6 |
Tom Brady, QB, NE | 25 | Dez Bryant, WR, DAL | 11 | Kenny Britt, WR, TEN | 6 |
Doug Martin, RB, TB | 24 | DeMarco Murray, RB, DAL | 11 | Anquan Boldin, WR, BAL | 6 |
LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI | 24 | Antonio Gates, TE, SD | 10 | Isaac Redman, RB, PIT | 5 |
A.J. Green, WR, CIN | 24 | James Jones, WR, GB | 10 | Greg Jennings, WR, GB | 5 |
Matt Ryan, QB, ATL | 24 | Mike Williams, WR, TB | 10 | Cecil Shorts, WR, JAC | 4 |
Trent Richardson, RB, CLE | 23 | C.J. Spiller, RB, BUF | 10 | 49ers/Bears/Texans DST | 4 |
Rob Gronkowski, TE, NE | 22 | Tony Gonzalez, TE, ATL | 10 | Daniel Thomas, RB, MIA | 4 |
Calvin Johnson, WR, DET | 22 | Steve Smith, WR, CAR | 10 | Andre Roberts, WR, ARI | 4 |
Demaryius Thomas, WR, DEN | 22 | Torrey Smith, WR, BAL | 10 | Andre Brown, RB, NYG | 4 |
Julio Jones, WR, ATL | 21 | Tony Romo, QB, DAL | 10 | Nate Washington, WR, TEN | 4 |
Brandon Marshall, WR, CHI | 21 | Heath Miller, TE, PIT | 9 | Donald Brown, RB, IND | 4 |
Matt Forte, RB, CHI | 20 | Owen Daniels, TE, HOU | 9 | Chris Givens, WR, STL | 4 |
Frank Gore, RB, SF | 20 | Shonn Greene, RB, NYJ | 9 | Kyle Rudolph, TE, MIN | 4 |
Chris Johnson, RB, TEN | 20 | Fred Jackson, RB, BUF | 9 | Felix Jones, RB, DAL | 3 |
Victor Cruz, WR, NYG | 20 | Josh Freeman, QB, TB | 9 | Marcel Reece, RB, OAK | 3 |
Stevan Ridley, RB, NE | 19 | Brandon Lloyd, WR, NE | 9 | Jay Cutler, QB, CHI | 3 |
Jimmy Graham, TE, NO | 19 | Michael Turner, RB, ATL | 9 | LaRod Stephens- Howling, RB, ARI | 3 |
Eric Decker, WR, DEN | 19 | Hakeem Nicks, WR, NYG | 9 | Dwayne Allen, TE, IND | 3 |
Willis McGahee, RB, DEN | 19 | Steve Johnson, WR, BUF | 9 | Joe Flacco, QB, BAL | 3 |
Vincent Jackson, WR, TB | 19 | Michael Vick, QB, PHI | 8 | Shane Vereen, RB, NE | 3 |
Roddy White, WR, ATL | 19 | Matt Schaub, QB, HOU | 8 | TY Hilton, WR, IND | 3 |
Matthew Stafford, QB, DET | 18 | Jason Witten, TE, DAL | 8 | Michael Crabtree, WR, SF | 3 |
Andre Johnson, WR, HOU | 18 | Jonathan Stewart, RB, CAR | 8 | Jeremy Kerley, WR, NYJ | 3 |
Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI | 18 | Lance Moore, WR, NO | 8 | Brandon Pettigrew, TE, DET | 3 |
Miles Austin, WR, DAL | 17 | Titus Young, WR, DET | 8 | Martellus Bennett, TE, NYG | 3 |
Reggie Wayne, WR, IND | 17 | Rashad Jennings, RB, JAC | 8 | Pierre Garcon, WR, WAS | 3 |
Marques Colston, WR, NO | 17 | Dwayne Bowe, WR, KC | 8 | Ryan Broyles, WR, DET | 2 |
Alfred Morris, RB, WAS | 17 | Jeremy Maclin, WR, PHI | 8 | Ronnie Brown, RB, SD | 2 |
Wes Welker, WR, NE | 17 | Steven Jackson, RB, STL | 8 | Jonathan Dwyer, RB, PIT | 2 |
Mike Wallace, WR, PIT | 17 | Philip Rivers, QB, SD | 7 | Kendall Wright, WR, TEN | 2 |
Robert Griffin III, QB, WAS | 17 | BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB, CIN | 7 | Joique Bell, RB, DET | 2 |
Cam Newton, QB, CAR | 16 | Pierre Thomas, RB, NO | 7 | DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR | 2 |
Ryan Mathews, RB, SD | 16 | Darren Sproles, RB, NO | 7 | Brandon Gibson, WR, STL | 2 |
Randall Cobb, WR, GB | 16 | Antonio Brown, WR, PIT | 7 | Greg Olsen, TE, CAR | 2 |
Percy Harvin, WR, MIN | 16 | Sidney Rice, WR, SEA | 7 | Brent Celek, TE, PHI | 2 |
Ben Roethlisberger, QB, PIT | 15 | Vernon Davis, TE, SF | 7 | Santana Moss, WR, WAS | 2 |
Andrew Luck, QB, IND | 15 | Vick Ballard, RB, IND | 7 | Brandon Myers, TE, OAK | 2 |
Mikel Leshoure, RB, DET | 15 | Rashard Mendenhall, RB, PIT | 7 | Scott Chandler, TE, BUF | 2 |
Denarius Moore, WR, OAK | 15 | Malcom Floyd, WR, SD | 7 | Michael Floyd, WR, ARI | 2 |
Jordy Nelson, WR, GB | 15 | Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC | 7 | Justin Blackmon, WR, JAC | 2 |
Stay in touch with the most passionate Fantasy staff in the business by following us via Twitter @CBSFantasyFB . You can also follow Dave at @daverichard and on Facebook .
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